Global military conflicts and geopolitical escalation are back in focus. This article breaks down which asset classes and geographies tend to outperform, how Bitcoin fits into the mix, and what “safe haven” really means for a 2025 portfolio.
| Asset Class | Why It Performs |
| Gold & Precious Metals | Safe-haven demand, inflation hedge, store of value |
| Energy (Oil, Gas) | Supply disruptions, price spikes |
| Defense & Aerospace | Government spending on war machinery |
| Commodities | Supply chain shocks, strategic value |
| U.S. Treasuries (short-term) | Liquidity refuge, especially in flight-to-quality phases |
| Private Credit / Structured Debt | Floating-rate yield, low correlation to public markets, and vital capital in dislocated environments |
| Cybersecurity & Infra Tech | Rising relevance in modern warfare |
Bitcoin’s role is still evolving. At times it behaves like digital gold—useful in regimes with capital controls, weak currencies, or authoritarian crackdowns. But it's still tightly correlated with global risk appetite, especially in the short term.
| Conflict Type | Bitcoin Behaviour |
| Hot wars (e.g. Ukraine-Russia) | Spike in usage, especially for cross-border transactions |
| Global liquidity crunch | BTC often sells off with other risk assets |
| Localised repression | Strong adoption—capital flight tool |
| Inflation + Trust Crisis | Performs better as “store of value” narrative kicks in |
| Geography | Why It Holds Up |
| United States | Safe-haven, reserve currency, defense sector |
| Switzerland & Singapore | Stability, neutrality, financial integrity |
| Canada & Australia | Resource exporters, distance from conflict zones |
| Gulf States | Oil exporters, sovereign wealth-backed stability |
At Aura, we’re fortunate to be strategically positioned in both Australia and Singapore—two markets that continue to punch above their weight as modern-day safe havens.
Australia, often called the “Lucky Country”, remains just that. Its vast geographic distance from global conflict zones, resource-rich economy, and strong institutions have historically insulated it—even during World War II, where the mainland was largely untouched.
Singapore, on the other hand, is neutrality in action. As a trusted financial centre, it thrives on rule of law, regulatory clarity, and geopolitical non-alignment. It’s where capital seeks shelter—and often finds opportunity.
And while these asset class tilts may make sense for some, even with all the data and historical patterns, sometimes the most rational response is to do nothing. If you already have well-diversified portfolio (still the only free lunch in investing) and no immediate need to withdraw capital, you’ve earned the right to not have to predict the next flashpoint or safe haven. It allows you to stay invested, avoid panic, and let time do the heavy lifting.
If you’d like to discuss your portfolio or explore how Aura can support your long-term wealth goals, feel free to reach out. One of our Private Wealth Advisors would be happy to help.